说明：  runs Kalman-Bucy filter over observations matrix Z for 1-step prediction onto matrix X (X can = Z) with model order p V = initial covariance of observation sequence noise returns model parameter estimation sequence A, sequence of predicted outcomes y_pred and error matrix Ey (reshaped) for y and Ea for a along with inovation prob P = P(y_t | D_t-1) = evidence