量化交易崛起的七个原因

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相对于国外发达资本市场,量化交易占比已经达到70%;而中国的量化交易则处于起步阶段,占比也就只有30%左右,但随着国内资本市场的逐步完善与发展,未来量化交易预期会呈现稳定增长的态势。这主要有以下七个原因: 其一,人工操控的交易速度与计算机操控的量化速度,肯定无法相比的。量化交易平台易网行的高频交易速度可以达到每秒30万笔,加入风控措施之后也可达到每秒1000笔。 其二,在大数据背景下,量化投资可以借助于计算机技术和数学模型,同时跟踪并处理具有海量样本和高维变量的金融数据,利用计算机系统快速执行交易。在股票市场,经常需要面对上千只股票的特征信息,包括宏观经济变量、市场结构变量、股票估值因子、股票成长因子、股票盈利因子、市场情绪等众多变量的数据信息,量化投资能够从海量样本中捕捉到更多更好的投资机会。 其三,量化交易借助于科技的发展,利用越来越成熟的计算机平台,能够从数据的微小变化中捕捉机会,获得更大的盈利空间。例如,在新兴的交易方式,诸如统计套利、跨期套利、期限套利等套利策略中,每次套利交易的盈利较少,但策略能够实时跟踪走势,在有套利机会出现的时候迅速进行交易,获取利益。 其四,量化投资能够规避投资者的心理偏差,克服人类在投资决策中的弱点,避免人的主观臆断及贪婪、恐惧、侥幸心理等情绪的影响,实现传统投资无法实现的收益。 其五,相较于海外的成熟资本市场,国内的A股市场发展历程相对较短,还不是特别有效的资本市场。目前,中国A股市场的股票有2800多只,预计未来10年的股票数量会突破5000只,再加上商品、各种期货、期权类产品等,投资标的将呈爆炸式增长。国内金融衍生产品种类较少,未来衍生品的进一步繁荣有助于量化交易的快速发展,为量化交易的发展提供更广泛的空间与可能。 其六,散户占国内投资者的比例较高,中国资本市场去散户化较难。受计算机技术以及模型开发水平的限制,散户直接进行量化投资及程序化交易较难。但是市场上出现的微量网等策略零售化平台以及其他各种量化交易平台,为散户进行量化交易提供了便利条件。 其七,互联网金融发展得如火如茶,量化基金每年成倍增加,借助互联网金融的发展,投资者尤其是散户可以借助易网行平台直接或间接进行量化交易,保护中小投资者自身的利益。 所以,根据以上几点,可以断定,未来的交易市场,肯定是有量化投资的一席之地,
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